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i.m.'s avatar

I get the overall idea of an automated software/business factory. What I’m rather sceptical about is that turning an average idea/business (or breaking out of the initial bunch of 3-4 similar ideas/business appearing roughly simultaneously), in 100% cases required extraordinary efforts/insights/devotion to make it happen, often against all odds, often via a series of rather radical pivots, rather than via small tweaks.

Ie human stubbornness, crazy dedication, or some soft of unfair advantage (larger angel round, larger pre-existing audience, …) turned products into hits, not small random evolutionary steps or a brilliant initial idea. Ideas are easy to copy. A hundred of people running the same software factory - where’s the advantage?

The idea of automatically developing a portfolio of dozens of small business, while feeding their grows with AI-generated content on TikTok/Reddit/Twitter might sound viable, until you realize that thousands and thousands of people have already oversaturated all channels with AI slop, so unless you have the resources to overspend incumbents/competitors, you stand no chance.

What am I missing?

June Northey's avatar

This makes a TON of sense to me. It is like in sports when the major league team has a pile of minor league ones feeding it - they can sign dozens of players and see which develop into stars (rare), or into scrubs (common) then only use them if they are star level. Signing kids was cheap decades ago for that, thus why in baseball they used to sign dozens upon dozens of kids from the Dominican hoping one or two would become stars - easily worth the minor fiscal risk.

With AI as it gets better and better the cost of risk will keep dropping - for example, you can test out 100+ different game ideas at once and have them go out to the market and if 1 hits then you win big time. No overhead beyond what the AI cost, no programmers, no board of directors, just yourself and that AI. Can easily see how it will blow up in a few years as too many do that, making it damn hard to find anything online. Early adaptors like yourself will be laughing and making a killing in the early days, then as others figure it out they'll jump in but it will be like mining crypto - early days you could get coins reasonably easily, today not so much.

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